Yes, it will probably win Roger Deakins an Oscar for Best Cinematography, but I am very curious as to how it performs at the global box office.īlade Runner 2049 takes forever to go nowhere special. Denis Villeneuve’s sequel, produced by Ridley Scott and co-starring original lead Harrison Ford, is a grim, very long and occasionally violent R-rated sci-fi drama. Yes, Tron: Legacy made $400 million worldwide in 2010, but that was a PG-rated, Walt Disney sci-fi actioner opening right before Christmas and thus designated as the year-end event movie. There is very little precedent for a movie like Blade Runner 2049, a 2.75-hour, R-rated sequel to a very old cult movie and box office flop starring a long-ago box office draw and an inconsistent younger movie star, earning as much as this one needs to in order to be profitable. But for Blade Runner 2049, $369m worldwide won’t be enough. But since the David Fincher/Gillian Flynn potboiler cost only $60m, it was a huge hit for Fox. The bad news is that the R-rated one earned “just” $166m domestic and $369m worldwide. The good news is that two of those films earned well over $600 million worldwide.

In 2013, it was Gravity. In 2014, it was Gone Girl. In 2015, it was The Martian. There is usually room for one or two big October sensations, big-scale films with exorbitant budgets that play to adults which dominate the water-cooler and justify hiring a sitter for a movie night.

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